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Current Conditions

Dallas/Fort Worth Airport (KDFW)
icon
Mostly Cloudy
93°F
 Hot 
Dewpoint:73°F
Humidity: 52%
Pressure: 29.96 inHg
Wind: S 15 mph
Wind Chill: None
Heat Index: 102°F
Updated: Jul 16 2019, 12:53 pm CDT

7-Day Forecast

Today Tonight Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday Monday
S 10-15 G20
Day2Today
Mostly sunny with a high of 98. South wind 10 to 15 mph. Wind could gust as high as 20 mph. Heat index value as high as 105.


Mostly Sunny
S 10-15 G20
Day2Tonight
Mostly clear with a low of 79. South wind 10 to 15 mph. Wind could gust as high as 20 mph.


Mostly Clear
S 10-15 G20
Day3Wednesday
Mostly sunny with a high of 98. South wind 10 to 15 mph. Wind could gust as high as 20 mph.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear with a low of 78. South wind 10 to 15 mph. Wind could gust as high as 20 mph.


Mostly Sunny
S 10-15 G20
Day5Thursday
Mostly sunny with a high of 98. South wind 10 to 15 mph. Wind could gust as high as 20 mph.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear with a low of 78. South wind around 15 mph. Wind could gust as high as 20 mph.


Mostly Sunny
S 15 G20
Day7Friday
Mostly sunny with a high of 97. South wind around 15 mph. Wind could gust as high as 20 mph.
Friday Night
Clear with a low of 77. South wind around 15 mph. Wind could gust as high as 20 mph.


Mostly Sunny
S 15
Day9Saturday
Mostly sunny with a high of 97. South wind around 15 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear with a low of 78. South wind 10 to 15 mph. Wind could gust as high as 20 mph.


Mostly Sunny
S 10
Day11Sunday
Sunny with a high of 97. South wind around 10 mph.
Sunday Night
Clear with a low of 78. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.


Sunny
S 5-10
Day13Monday
Mostly sunny with a high of 97. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly cloudy with a low of 71. East southeast wind 10 to 15 mph.


Mostly Sunny
98 79 98 | 78 98 | 78 97 | 77 97 | 78 97 | 78 97 | 71
Jul 16 Jul 16 Jul 17 Jul 18 Jul 19 Jul 20 Jul 21 Jul 22
Updated: 6:03 AM - Tue, Jul 16, 2019 Valid: Dallas/Fort Worth Airport (KDFW)

Forecast Discussion

232
FXUS64 KFWD 162028
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
328 PM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

.SHORT TERM...
/Through Tonight/

Afternoon temperatures have climbed into the mid and upper 90s
across the region with heat indices in the 105-108 degree range
making for an oppressive afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms
across southwest Arkansas failed to produce a substantial outflow
boundary to the south which would likely be needed for
thunderstorms in our area. Visible satellite imagery is also
unimpressive with a lack of cumulus across a good portion of the
region. There is still a very low chance for an isolated shower or
storm through early evening during peak heating, but most areas
will remain dry. Southerly winds will persist overnight with lows
in the upper 70s.

Dunn

&&

.LONG TERM...
/Wednesday through Next Week/

A 500 mb ridge will meander back and forth across the southern
half of the CONUS for the rest of the work week, keeping heights
in the 592 to 594 DAM range over North and Central Texas through
Friday. The primary concern will be apparent temperatures each
afternoon, and if and where to extend the current heat advisory.
For Wednesday, dewpoints will likely remain in the 70s for central
and eastern zones, which when coupled with max temperatures near
100 will yield heat index values between 105 and 110, and the
ongoing advisory looks good. As we get into Thursday and Friday,
models depict a weakness in the ridge, which could knock a degree
or two off area high temperatures. Heat indices may approach 105,
but the lack of certainty regarding clouds associated with the
weakness aloft (which could also hinder surface heating) is enough
to refrain from extending the advisory temporally at this time.
That said, hot conditions with heat indices over 100 can still be
expected at least through Friday.

An easterly wave along the Central Gulf Coast will move westward
towards the region this weekend. This will place North and
Central Texas beneath a northeasterly flow regime, which may usher
in some slightly drier air. At the same time, a slight drop in
heights associated with the approaching trough should keep highs
in the mid to upper 90s, which should continue to keep heat index
readings just below advisory criteria. As far as precipitation
chances are concerned, there may be slight chance POPs across the
southeast where weak lift from the easterly wave and seabreeze
circulation will occur, but most areas should remain rain-free.

The ridge will amplify while retrograding to the Four-Corners
area early next weak as an upper trough deepens across the eastern
third of the CONUS. This pattern will place unseasonable strong
north flow aloft, which will force another rare summer cold front
southward into the area during the first half of next week. The
ECMWF brings the front into North Texas on Tuesday, while the GFS
and Canadian models are equally more aggressive with the front and
advertise a Monday arrival. Will introduce low POPs for both days
and refine the forecast as models come into better agreement. If
storms do develop, the primary concern will likely be strong wind
gusts, particularly if the boundary arrives during peak heating
hours. Either way, we should see at least some short- lived relief
following a string of uncomfortable (yet seasonable) days of
summer heat.

30

&&

.AVIATION... /Issued 1245 PM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019/

/18Z TAFs/

VFR conditions will continue over the next 24 hours. Winds will
generally be out of the south, with speeds between 10 and 14
knots. Confidence that storms will develop and impact the
terminals is quite low so will not include VCTS/TS in the latest
forecast.

&&

.AVIATION... /Issued 621 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019/
/12Z TAFs/

Concerns -- Isolated to widely scattered TSRA possible over Bonham
arrival gate. VFR/S flow all terminals.

North/Central TX remain within deep S-SEly flow this morning. To
the northeast...TS are ongoing across southwest AR. These TS may
result in the development of outflow boundary in the vicinity of
the Red River later this afternoon which may act as focus for
additional TS development. High-res guidance in agreement that TS
may develop along a KGVT-KTXK line after 21Z...but disagree with
respect to amount of coverage. While TS are not expected at any
TAF sites...impacts to NE arrival gate are possible this
afternoon...depending on amount of coverage. Right now...coverage
appears more likely to be isolated in nature...but trends will
need to be monitored through the afternoon. Convection should
dissipate after 00Z. Otherwise...all terminals will remain VFR
and in S flow through the TAF period.

37

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 79 99 79 97 78 / 5 0 0 0 0
Waco 77 98 76 97 76 / 0 0 0 0 0
Paris 77 93 76 93 75 / 10 0 0 0 0
Denton 78 99 78 97 78 / 0 0 0 0 0
McKinney 78 98 77 96 77 / 10 0 0 0 0
Dallas 80 99 79 97 78 / 5 0 0 0 0
Terrell 78 98 78 95 78 / 10 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 77 95 75 94 75 / 5 0 0 0 0
Temple 76 96 75 96 75 / 0 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 77 98 75 97 75 / 0 0 0 0 0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Wednesday for TXZ091>095-101>107-
116>123-131>135-144>148-159>162-175.

&&

$$

91

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion

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